How to read risk before you read the chart
Risk-first sounds obvious, but most people do it backwards. They find an idea they like, get attached, and only then think about the downside — usually to justify the trade rather than test it.
Flip the order. Before you evaluate the opportunity, answer three questions: What's my maximum loss on this idea, in dollars? Where am I wrong (the level that invalidates the thesis)? Does the broad environment support taking risk today at all?
Only after those are answered does the chart matter. Now you're sizing the position to the risk you've defined, not to how excited you feel.
This is unglamorous and it works. Risk you can define is risk you can manage — and managing risk is most of the job.
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